L’École des cotesFrançais
Anaheim Ducks v Vancouver Canucks
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Anaheim Ducks (Local)
Prévision 72.61%1.38cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -5.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%72.57%72.77%74.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.321.311.3581.97%76.03%76.34%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vancouver Canucks (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.39%3.65cote équitable
EV +3.53%
Avantage +0.935%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.045%
avec la cote maximale 3.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.30%27.43%27.23%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.453.483.7832.26%28.95%28.78%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.51%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +3.53%E +0.935%K +1.27%G +0.045% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 00:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -1.94%E -0.543%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -2.49%E -0.700%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| Everygame | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.15%E -3.15%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 00:06 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 23:45 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.15%E -3.15%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 17:19 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 13:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.51%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.51%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.51%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -1.98%E -1.46%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -1.98%E -1.46%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 23:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 00:06 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -9.89%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -9.89%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 23:49 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -11.42%E -9.36%K -51.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.36%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.09%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 00:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.52% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.48% | 0.1% | 2026-04-12 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Novig | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.91% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 23:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.78% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.99% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.68% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.18% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 00:03 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.70% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betway | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 00:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.25% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 23:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.91% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84% | 12.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |