La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Anaheim Ducks v Vancouver Canucks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anaheim Ducks (Local)
Predicción 72.61%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -5.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%72.57%72.77%74.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.321.311.3581.97%76.03%76.34%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vancouver Canucks (Visitante)
Predicción 27.39%3.65momio equitativo
EV +3.53%
Ventaja +0.935%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.30%27.43%27.23%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.453.483.7832.26%28.95%28.78%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -7.06%E -5.51%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +3.53%E +0.935%K +1.27%G +0.045% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 00:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -1.94%E -0.543%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -2.49%E -0.700%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| Everygame | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.15%E -3.15%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 00:06 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 23:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 23:45 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.77%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.15%E -3.15%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 17:19 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.14%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 13:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.51%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.51%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.51%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -1.98%E -1.46%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -1.98%E -1.46%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.88%E -3.73%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 23:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 00:06 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.31%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -9.89%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -9.89%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 23:49 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.70%E -2.02%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -11.42%E -9.36%K -51.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.36%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.09%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.52% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.48% | 0.1% | 2026-04-12 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Novig | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 00:10 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.91% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 23:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.78% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.99% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 23:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.68% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.18% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 00:03 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.70% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betway | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 00:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.25% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 23:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.91% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84% | 12.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 23:59 |