The School of Odds
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Anaheim Ducks v Philadelphia Flyers

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prediction 57.57%1.74fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.914%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.46%57.50%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.661.671.7165.36%60.18%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 42.43%2.36fair odd
EV -0.280%
Edge -0.119%
Kelly -0.207%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.54%42.50%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.262.252.3548.31%44.31%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 57.57%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 42.43%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -0.280%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.56%E -0.914%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 01:25
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.56%E -0.914%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 02:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.14%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.77%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 01:57
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-19 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-18 23:49
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.95%E -2.21%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 01:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 00:09
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 19:55
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:09
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.80%E -2.61%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:05
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.80%E -2.61%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 01:15
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.80%E -2.61%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 01:15
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.13%E -0.484%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 01:59
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:45
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 15:05
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 23:40
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.59%E -3.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.59%E -3.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 22:45
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.280%E -0.119%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 01:18
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 22:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -11.92%E -7.79%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -12.16%E -5.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-19 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-03-19 02:00
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-19 02:00
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-03-19 02:00
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-19 02:00
BetOpenly◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-19 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-03-19 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-03-19 02:00
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-03-19 02:00
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-03-19 02:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-19 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-19 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-19 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-19 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.34%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%4.0%2026-03-19 01:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-03-19 00:55
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-03-19 00:15
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.66%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.09%4.8%2026-03-19 01:59
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-03-19 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-03-19 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-03-19 00:05
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-03-19 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%6.1%2026-03-19 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%6.5%2026-03-19 00:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-03-19 02:00
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-19 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-19 02:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.93%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%9.1%2026-03-19 02:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-19 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.99%10.7%2026-03-19 01:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 44.91%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%10.8%2026-03-19 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.23%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%13.6%2026-03-19 02:01