L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.71
avec la cote maximale 2.35
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.56%E -0.914%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 01:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.56%E -0.914%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.14%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.77%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 01:57 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-18 23:49 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.95%E -2.21%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 20:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.29%E -1.96%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 00:09 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 17:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 00:09 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 01:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.80%E -2.61%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 01:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.80%E -2.61%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 01:15 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.44%E -2.68%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.80%E -2.61%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 01:15 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.13%E -0.484%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 01:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:45 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.25%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.04%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-18 23:40 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.59%E -3.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.59%E -3.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 22:45 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.74%E -4.16%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.280%E -0.119%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 01:18 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.32%E -4.55%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -11.92%E -7.79%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -12.16%E -5.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| Novig | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| BetOpenly | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.34% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 00:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.66% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.09% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 01:59 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.93% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.99% | 10.7% | 2026-03-19 01:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 44.91% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85% | 10.8% | 2026-03-19 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.48% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.23% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29% | 13.6% | 2026-03-19 02:01 |