The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Anaheim Ducks v Florida Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-10-05 00:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prediction 43.90%2.28fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.549%
Kelly -0.988%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%43.91%43.94%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.39%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 56.10%1.78fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%56.09%56.06%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.711.7562.11%58.69%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 43.90%; Florida Panthers (Visit): 56.10%. For Anaheim Ducks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.23%E -0.549%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.50%E -2.04%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-05 00:01
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.23%E -0.549%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.11%E -0.947%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.11%E -0.947%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 23:50
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-05 00:05
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 23:49
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 23:58
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 23:55
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 00:01
Paddy Power🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.31%E -1.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.31%E -1.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 00:10
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 00:10
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 23:55
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 00:10
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 21:45
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:49
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 00:10
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 00:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 00:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 00:10
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-05 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 23:54
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 22:10
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 22:10
Bovada🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 00:10
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 00:10
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 00:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 00:05
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 00:10
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 00:08
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.01%E -4.88%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.67%E -6.01%K -15.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-04 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-10-05 00:10
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-10-04 23:35
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-10-05 00:10
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-10-05 00:10
BetOpenly◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.6%2026-10-04 23:59
ProphetX◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%3.7%2026-10-05 00:10
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%7.5%2026-10-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 31.27%1.01I 99.01%NM 68.73%44.1%2026-10-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 31.27%1.01I 99.01%NM 68.73%44.1%2026-10-05 00:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.85%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.05%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.10%1.9%2026-10-05 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-10-05 00:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-10-05 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.3%2026-10-05 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.19%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%4.4%2026-10-05 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.86%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%4.7%2026-10-04 23:58
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-10-04 23:59
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-10-05 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-10-05 00:00
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-10-05 00:00
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.6%2026-10-05 00:00
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-10-05 00:09
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%6.0%2026-10-05 00:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-10-04 21:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%7.2%2026-10-05 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-10-05 00:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.65%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%9.2%2026-10-05 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%11.8%2026-10-05 00:03
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%12.3%2026-10-05 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.97%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%14.4%2026-10-05 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.19%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01%15.9%2026-10-04 23:59