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Anaheim Ducks v Florida Panthers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anaheim Ducks (Local)
Predicción 43.90%2.28momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.549%
Kelly -0.988%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.89%43.91%43.94%45.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.39%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Florida Panthers (Visitante)
Predicción 56.10%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.69%56.09%56.06%57.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.701.711.7562.11%58.69%58.48%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 43.90%; Florida Panthers (Visitante): 56.10%. Para Anaheim Ducks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.28. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.25, con un valor esperado de -1.23%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.23%E -0.549%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.50%E -2.04%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 00:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.23%E -0.549%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.11%E -0.947%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.11%E -0.947%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 23:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 23:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 00:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.31%E -1.98%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.31%E -1.98%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 23:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.62%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.31%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.06%E -2.83%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 23:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.06%E -2.38%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 00:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.01%E -4.88%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.67%E -6.01%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 23:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70% | 2.6% | 2026-10-04 23:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 31.27% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 68.73% | 44.1% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 31.27% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 68.73% | 44.1% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.85% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.05% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.10% | 1.9% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 00:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.19% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.86% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 23:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.43% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 00:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 00:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.65% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 00:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.97% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32% | 14.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.19% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01% | 15.9% | 2026-10-04 23:59 |