Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 1.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 46.74%; Edmonton Oilers (Visit): 53.26%. For Edmonton Oilers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.84%E -0.874%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.84%E -0.874%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.84%E -0.874%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 02:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.874%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 02:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.48%E -0.799%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-30 23:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 02:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 02:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 02:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 02:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -11.18%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -13.19%E -8.09%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 02:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 02:14 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 02:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 02:13 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82% | 2.9% | 2026-05-01 02:14 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.35% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.45% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.86% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.94% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 02:03 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51% | 5.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51% | 5.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.45% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 02:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59% | 7.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.89% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70% | 12.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |