L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.10
avec la cote maximale 1.85
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.84%E -0.874%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.84%E -0.874%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.84%E -0.874%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 02:10 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.84%E -0.874%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 02:10 |
| ReBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 01:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.48%E -0.799%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 02:15 |
| Bally Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-30 23:58 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:03 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 02:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 02:10 |
| Betsson | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 02:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 02:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 02:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 02:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -11.18%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -13.19%E -8.09%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 02:15 |
| Polymarket | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 02:05 |
| Novig | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 02:14 |
| BetOpenly | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 02:15 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 02:13 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82% | 2.9% | 2026-05-01 02:14 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.35% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.45% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.86% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.94% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 02:03 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51% | 5.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51% | 5.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.45% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 02:03 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59% | 7.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 01:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 02:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.89% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70% | 12.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |