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Anaheim Ducks v Calgary Flames

2026-11-16 01:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prediction 58.02%1.72fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.25%57.99%61.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.641.651.6764.94%61.13%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Flames (Visit)

Prediction 41.98%2.38fair odd
EV +3.69%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.51%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.40%41.75%42.01%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.282.292.4745.87%43.79%43.67%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 58.02%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 41.98%. For Calgary Flames (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.47, producing a positive expected value of +3.69%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -10.65%E -6.91%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV +3.69%E +1.49%K +2.51%G +0.093%5.4%2026-11-14 20:20
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -10.65%E -6.91%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV +3.69%E +1.49%K +2.51%G +0.093%5.4%2026-11-14 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.07%E -6.50%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +2.85%E +1.16%K +1.97%G +0.056%5.3%2026-11-14 20:30
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.07%E -6.50%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +2.85%E +1.16%K +1.97%G +0.056%5.3%2026-11-14 20:30
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.19%E -0.939%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-14 21:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-14 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-14 20:05
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-14 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.69%E -2.22%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 16:34
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 18:15
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 21:35
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 21:34
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 21:35
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.69%E -2.22%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.87%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-14 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.29%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-14 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-14 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.55%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 19:35
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.55%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.55%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.55%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 18:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 19:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 19:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 19:50
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-14 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-14 18:45
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-14 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 23:24
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 23:24
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.48%E -3.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-14 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-11-14 19:05
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-11-14 19:05
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-11-14 17:20
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-11-15 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%3.8%2026-11-15 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%3.8%2026-11-15 00:45
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%10.0%2026-11-15 00:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.51%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.75%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.74%3.2%2026-11-14 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%3.6%2026-11-14 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%3.6%2026-11-14 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%3.6%2026-11-14 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%3.6%2026-11-14 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-11-14 21:35
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%5.1%2026-11-14 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%5.1%2026-11-14 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%5.6%2026-11-14 19:50
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%6.1%2026-11-14 21:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.03%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%8.6%2026-11-15 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.28%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%9.1%2026-11-14 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.16%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%9.4%2026-11-14 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.39%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%10.0%2026-11-14 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.06%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%11.3%2026-11-14 21:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.77%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%15.0%2026-11-14 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 45.86%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.33%17.2%2026-11-14 19:50

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