默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Anaheim Ducks v Calgary Flames

2026-11-16 01:10 UTC — NHL

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

58%

42%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Anaheim Ducks (主队)

预测 58.02%1.72公平赔率

EV -3.11%

优势 -1.86%

Kelly -4.64%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布

56.85%58.25%57.99%61.60%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.541.641.651.6764.94%61.13%60.61%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Calgary Flames (客队)

预测 41.98%2.38公平赔率

EV +3.69%

优势 +1.49%

Kelly +2.51%

增长率 +0.093%

假设最高赔率为 2.47

博彩公司预测分布

38.40%41.75%42.01%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.182.282.292.4745.87%43.79%43.67%40.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Anaheim Ducks (主队)：58.02%；Calgary Flames (客队)：41.98%。对于“Calgary Flames (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.38。有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.47，由此产生+3.69%的正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
NordicBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -10.65%E -6.91%K -19.72%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV +3.69%E +1.49%K +2.51%G +0.093%	5.4%	2026-11-14 20:20
Betsson🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -10.65%E -6.91%K -19.72%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV +3.69%E +1.49%K +2.51%G +0.093%	5.4%	2026-11-14 20:20
PlayUp🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.07%E -6.50%K -18.31%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +2.85%E +1.16%K +1.97%G +0.056%	5.3%	2026-11-14 20:30
TAB🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.07%E -6.50%K -18.31%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +2.85%E +1.16%K +1.97%G +0.056%	5.3%	2026-11-14 20:30
Bovada🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.19%E -0.939%K -1.64%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-14 21:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-14 18:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-14 20:05
GTbets🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-14 17:40
Bet Right🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.69%E -2.22%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-14 21:55
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 16:34
Fanatics🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 17:30
Paddy Power🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 18:15
BetRivers🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 21:35
betPARX🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 21:34
Bally Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 21:35
Caesars🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.69%E -2.22%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.87%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-14 17:35
FanDuel🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.29%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-14 18:15
SportsBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.71%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-14 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.55%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 19:35
Coral🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.55%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:45
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.55%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.55%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:45
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-14 19:50
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-14 19:49
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-14 19:50
Neds🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-14 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-14 18:45
Casumo🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-14 18:45
Bet Victor🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-14 23:24
betano_uk🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-14 23:24
ReBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.59%E -4.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.48%E -3.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-14 19:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%	0.1%	2026-11-14 19:05
Kalshi◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%	1.1%	2026-11-14 19:05
Polymarket◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-11-14 17:20
Novig◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%	2.1%	2026-11-15 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:45
Smarkets◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%	2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%	10.0%	2026-11-15 00:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
1xBet🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.51%	2.96I 33.78%NM 32.75%	4.46I 22.42%NM 21.74%	3.2%	2026-11-14 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%	3.6%	2026-11-14 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%	3.6%	2026-11-14 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%	3.6%	2026-11-14 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%	3.6%	2026-11-14 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.74%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%	4.6%	2026-11-14 21:35
Unibet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%	5.1%	2026-11-14 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%	5.1%	2026-11-14 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%	5.6%	2026-11-14 19:50
TABtouch🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%	6.1%	2026-11-14 21:35
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.03%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%	8.6%	2026-11-15 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.28%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%	9.1%	2026-11-14 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.16%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.07%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%	9.4%	2026-11-14 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.39%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%	10.0%	2026-11-14 19:50
Grosvenor🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 47.06%	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%	11.3%	2026-11-14 21:35
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 45.77%	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%	15.0%	2026-11-14 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 45.86%	2.60I 38.46%NM 32.81%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.33%	17.2%	2026-11-14 19:50

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