The School of Odds
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Anaheim Ducks v Calgary Flames

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prediction 57.80%1.73fair odd
EV +0.567%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.766%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.27%57.69%58.00%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.661.671.7465.79%60.26%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Flames (Visit)

Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV -0.823%
Edge -0.350%
Kelly -0.609%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%42.31%42.00%44.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.41%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 57.80%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 42.20%. For Anaheim Ducks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.567%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.567%E +0.326%K +0.766%G +0.004%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 02:04
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.17%E -0.683%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 01:09
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 16:09
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.09%E -0.900%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 01:24
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.62%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 01:45
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.62%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 01:59
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 02:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.09%E -0.900%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.09%E -0.900%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 02:00
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 01:50
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 01:20
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 01:15
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 01:20
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 01:24
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 07:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 02:02
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.78%E -1.66%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:00
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 02:00
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.67%E -0.715%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 01:42
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:49
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:53
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 15:19
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 23:44
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 02:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:14
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:14
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 01:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.20%E -1.85%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 01:43
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.823%E -0.350%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 01:44
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.823%E -0.350%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 01:44
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.823%E -0.350%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 01:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -12.15%E -7.99%K -23.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.37%E -5.42%K -10.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 01:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-05 02:00
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-05 02:04
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-05 02:00
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-05 02:04
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-04 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-04-05 02:04
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-04-05 02:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-04-05 02:04
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-04-05 02:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-04-05 01:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-04-05 01:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-04-05 01:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-04-05 01:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.10%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84%4.3%2026-04-05 02:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-04-05 01:44
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%4.8%2026-04-05 01:55
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%5.3%2026-04-05 01:54
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-04-05 01:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.8%2026-04-05 01:44
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.8%2026-04-05 01:44
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.8%2026-04-05 01:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-04-05 01:50
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%6.6%2026-04-05 01:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.12%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.44%7.4%2026-04-05 01:49
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%7.9%2026-04-05 01:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%8.6%2026-04-05 02:04
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%8.6%2026-04-05 02:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%9.1%2026-04-05 02:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%9.2%2026-04-05 01:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.12%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%10.0%2026-04-05 01:43
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.86%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%13.0%2026-04-05 01:44