La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.567%E +0.326%K +0.766%G +0.004% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.17%E -0.683%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| Everygame | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 16:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.09%E -0.900%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 01:24 |
| ReBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.62%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 01:45 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.62%E -2.04%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 01:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.09%E -0.900%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.09%E -0.900%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 01:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 01:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 01:15 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 20:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 20:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 01:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 01:24 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 02:02 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.78%E -1.66%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 01:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.67%E -0.715%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 01:42 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Caesars | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 01:53 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 15:19 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 23:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 02:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 14:14 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 14:14 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 01:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.20%E -1.85%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 01:43 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.823%E -0.350%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.823%E -0.350%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.823%E -0.350%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -12.15%E -7.99%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.37%E -5.42%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 02:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.10% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:54 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.13% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.12% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.44% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.55% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.12% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 01:43 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.86% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |