The School of Odds
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Anaheim Ducks v Buffalo Sabres

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prediction 47.84%2.09fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.942%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.91%47.78%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.992.002.0554.05%50.32%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Sabres (Visit)

Prediction 52.16%1.92fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%52.09%52.22%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.831.831.8959.52%54.59%54.50%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 47.84%; Buffalo Sabres (Visit): 52.16%. For Buffalo Sabres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.89, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.93%E -0.942%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.93%E -0.942%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:59
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.93%E -0.942%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.93%E -0.942%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 00:00
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.59%E -3.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:59
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.89%E -1.42%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-23 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 23:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 23:50
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.07%E -2.78%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 00:04
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 23:49
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 23:54
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 23:00
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:35
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:50
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.59%E -3.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.59%E -3.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:04
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 23:39
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 23:44
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 23:39
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.67%E -4.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.02%E -2.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 23:59
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:50
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 15:29
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:00
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:29
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:54
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 23:54
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 15:29
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -1.42%E -0.749%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 07:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.50%E -6.22%K -13.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.37%E -7.36%K -18.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-03-23 00:05
ProphetX◎2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-03-23 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-23 00:05
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-23 00:00
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-22 21:49
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-03-23 00:05
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-03-23 00:05
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-03-22 23:59

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-22 15:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%4.5%2026-03-22 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.48%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%4.7%2026-03-22 23:59
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%4.8%2026-03-22 23:54
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-03-22 23:59
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-22 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-22 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-22 15:29
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-22 15:29
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-22 15:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-03-22 23:49
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.38%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-22 15:29
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-23 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%8.5%2026-03-23 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.7%2026-03-23 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.56%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%9.4%2026-03-22 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%9.7%2026-03-23 00:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.98%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.26%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%11.2%2026-03-23 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.09%14.6%2026-03-23 00:00