L’École des cotes

Anaheim Ducks v Buffalo Sabres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prévision 47.84%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.942%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%47.91%47.78%49.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.992.002.0554.05%50.32%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Buffalo Sabres (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.16%1.92cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.749%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.26%52.09%52.22%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.831.831.8959.52%54.59%54.50%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.93%E -0.942%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 00:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.93%E -0.942%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:59
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.93%E -0.942%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.93%E -0.942%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 00:00
ReBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.59%E -3.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:59
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.89%E -1.42%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-23 00:00
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 23:49
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 23:50
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.07%E -2.78%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 00:04
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 23:49
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 23:54
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 23:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:35
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:50
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.59%E -3.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.59%E -3.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:04
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 23:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 23:44
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 23:39
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 23:49
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.67%E -4.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-23 00:00
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:00
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:55
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.02%E -2.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 23:59
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:50
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 15:30
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 15:29
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:29
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:54
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 17:04
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 23:54
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.55%E -2.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 23:55
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 15:29
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -1.42%E -0.749%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 07:45
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.50%E -6.22%K -13.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.37%E -7.36%K -18.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-03-23 00:05
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-03-23 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-23 00:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-23 00:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-22 21:49
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-03-23 00:05
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-03-23 00:05
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-03-22 23:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-22 15:29
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%4.5%2026-03-22 23:59
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.48%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%4.7%2026-03-22 23:59
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%4.8%2026-03-22 23:54
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-03-22 23:59
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-22 15:29
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-22 15:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-22 15:29
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-22 15:29
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-22 15:29
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-03-22 23:49
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.38%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-22 15:29
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-23 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%8.5%2026-03-23 00:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.7%2026-03-23 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.56%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%9.4%2026-03-22 23:59
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%9.7%2026-03-23 00:03
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.98%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.26%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%11.2%2026-03-23 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.09%14.6%2026-03-23 00:00