The School of Odds
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Tappara v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tappara (Local)

Prediction 64.41%1.55fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -5.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%64.60%64.51%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.461.5169.93%68.16%68.49%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.506%
Kelly +0.780%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.40%35.49%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.672.602.8539.22%37.50%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tappara (Local): 64.41%; KooKoo (Visit): 35.59%. For KooKoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.44%E +0.506%K +0.780%G +0.011%5.0%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.44%E +0.506%K +0.780%G +0.011%5.0%2026-05-02 10:10
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.44%E +0.506%K +0.780%G +0.011%5.0%2026-05-02 10:10
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.04%E -2.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 04:04
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.97%E -4.09%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:15
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.97%E -4.09%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:15
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.61%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:25
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.75%E -1.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 13:01
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 00:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-30 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.26%E -5.04%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.26%E -5.04%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.26%E -5.04%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.26%E -5.04%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.23%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%8.3%2026-05-02 13:01

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.63%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.21%2.0%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-05-02 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-05-02 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-05-02 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%5.5%2026-05-02 13:01
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%6.2%2026-05-02 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%6.2%2026-05-02 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%6.2%2026-05-02 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%6.2%2026-05-02 10:10
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.05%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%6.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%9.1%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%9.5%2026-05-02 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%10.8%2026-05-02 13:01
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%11.6%2026-05-02 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%12.5%2026-05-02 10:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%13.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%13.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.43%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.04%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.53%14.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%15.9%2026-05-02 13:01