La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85
19 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.44%E +0.506%K +0.780%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.44%E +0.506%K +0.780%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.44%E +0.506%K +0.780%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.04%E -2.71%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 04:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.97%E -4.09%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.97%E -4.09%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 12:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.61%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.75%E -1.82%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.26%E -5.04%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.26%E -5.04%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.26%E -5.04%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.26%E -5.04%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.23%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.63% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.21% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.05% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59% | 13.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.43% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.04% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.53% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.75% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70% | 15.9% | 2026-05-02 13:01 |