預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

SaiPa v Tappara

開賽時間: 2026-09-01 15:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

17 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

SaiPa (主隊)

預測 33.28%3.00公平賠率
EV +1.51%
優勢 +0.495%
Kelly +0.736%
成長率 +0.011%

假設最高賠率為 3.05

博彩公司預測分布
31.78%33.13%33.31%34.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.502.832.803.0540.00%35.29%35.71%32.79%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Tappara (客隊)

預測 43.48%2.30公平賠率
EV -3.47%
優勢 -1.56%
Kelly -2.84%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.22

博彩公司預測分布
42.24%43.58%43.62%44.80%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.13%47.17%45.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.23%4.30公平賠率
EV -2.42%
優勢 -0.576%
Kelly -0.755%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布
22.40%23.29%23.07%24.31%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.733.974.004.2026.81%25.17%25.00%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:SaiPa (主隊):33.28%;Tappara (客隊):43.48%;和局:23.23%。 對於「SaiPa (主隊)」,該估計相當於3.00的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.05,對應+1.51%的正期望值。

有 20 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (17 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.88%EV +1.51%E +0.495%K +0.736%G +0.011%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV +1.51%E +0.495%K +0.736%G +0.011%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV +1.51%E +0.495%K +0.736%G +0.011%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV +1.51%E +0.495%K +0.736%G +0.011%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -1.82%E -0.617%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -7.81%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -1.82%E -0.617%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -7.81%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 13:00
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -1.82%E -0.617%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -7.81%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -1.82%E -0.617%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -7.81%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 09:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 11:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -13.03%E -6.52%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 13:00
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 07:25
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.42%E -0.576%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.76%EV -12.80%E -4.89%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.53%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.71%EV -13.34%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-01 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -13.47%E -5.18%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 09:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -13.47%E -5.18%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.39%EV -16.80%E -6.72%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.99%EV -13.03%E -6.52%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-01 09:04
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (20)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-09-01 15:25
NordicBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%4.0%2026-09-01 15:20
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%4.1%2026-09-01 09:05
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-09-01 09:02
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%4.7%2026-09-01 15:15
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%5.0%2026-09-01 12:55
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%5.0%2026-09-01 12:55
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%5.0%2026-09-01 12:55
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%5.3%2026-09-01 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-08-30 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-08-30 15:35
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-08-30 20:25
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%5.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%6.1%2026-09-01 07:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-08-27 16:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-08-30 17:25
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-08-30 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-08-30 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-08-30 17:30