语言:简体中文
SaiPa v Tappara
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SaiPa (主队)
预测 33.28%3.00公平赔率
EV +1.51%
优势 +0.495%
Kelly +0.736%
增长率 +0.011%
假设最高赔率为 3.05
博彩公司预测分布
31.78%33.13%33.31%34.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.832.803.0540.00%35.29%35.71%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
Tappara (客队)
预测 43.48%2.30公平赔率
EV -3.47%
优势 -1.56%
Kelly -2.84%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.22
博彩公司预测分布
42.24%43.58%43.62%44.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.13%47.17%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.23%4.30公平赔率
EV -2.42%
优势 -0.576%
Kelly -0.755%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.40%23.29%23.07%24.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.733.974.004.2026.81%25.17%25.00%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SaiPa (主队)：33.28%；Tappara (客队)：43.48%；平局：23.23%。 对于“SaiPa (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.00。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.05，对应+1.51%的正期望值。
有 20 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.88%EV +1.51%E +0.495%K +0.736%G +0.011% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV +1.51%E +0.495%K +0.736%G +0.011% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV +1.51%E +0.495%K +0.736%G +0.011% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV +1.51%E +0.495%K +0.736%G +0.011% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -1.82%E -0.617%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -7.81%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -1.82%E -0.617%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -7.81%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -1.82%E -0.617%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -7.81%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -1.82%E -0.617%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -7.81%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 11:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -13.03%E -6.52%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 07:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.42%E -0.576%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.76%EV -12.80%E -4.89%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.53%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.71%EV -13.34%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -13.47%E -5.18%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -13.47%E -5.18%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.39%EV -16.80%E -6.72%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.99%EV -13.03%E -6.52%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-01 09:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (20)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 09:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 09:02 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 12:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 07:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |