The School of Odds
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Pelicans v Sport

2026-09-04 15:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 60.78%1.65fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%60.98%60.61%63.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.6167.57%64.14%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sport (Visit)

Prediction 39.22%2.55fair odd
EV +4.33%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +2.61%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.06%39.02%39.39%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.422.392.6643.48%41.31%41.84%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pelicans (Local): 60.78%; Sport (Visit): 39.22%. For Sport (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.66, producing a positive expected value of +4.33%.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV +4.33%E +1.63%K +2.61%G +0.113%4.3%2026-09-01 20:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.05%E -6.79%K -20.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.98%E +0.760%K +1.24%G +0.024%6.0%2026-09-01 20:55
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.95%E -0.778%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.19%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.87%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.65%E -2.80%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 23:19
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -7.04%E -2.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.79%E -4.26%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 02:54
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.79%E -4.26%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 03:00
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.15%E -1.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.79%E -4.26%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 02:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 60.32%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%10.5%2026-09-01 23:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%3.8%2026-09-02 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%3.8%2026-09-02 02:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%3.8%2026-09-02 02:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%5.5%2026-09-02 03:00
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.52%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%6.2%2026-09-02 03:00
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%6.9%2026-09-02 02:55
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%6.9%2026-09-02 02:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%6.9%2026-09-02 02:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%6.9%2026-09-02 02:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%7.9%2026-09-02 04:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%10.3%2026-09-02 02:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.42%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%11.0%2026-09-02 02:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%12.7%2026-09-02 02:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%14.1%2026-09-02 03:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 47.84%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.45%20.1%2026-09-02 03:00
Arbitrage (3 combinations) +0.30%BetRivers 1.61 (62.3%) / NordicBet 2.66 (37.7%)Show all 3 combinations
Pelicans (Local)Sport (Visit)Margin
BetRivers🎯 1.61 (62.3%)NordicBet🎯 2.66 (37.7%)+0.295%
Bally Bet🎯 1.61 (62.3%)NordicBet🎯 2.66 (37.7%)+0.295%
betPARX🎯 1.61 (62.3%)NordicBet🎯 2.66 (37.7%)+0.295%