默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pelicans v Sport

开赛时间: 2026-09-04 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pelicans (主队)

预测 61.33%1.63公平赔率
EV -1.87%
优势 -1.17%
Kelly -3.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
57.89%61.39%61.32%62.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.561.561.6066.23%64.27%64.10%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sport (客队)

预测 38.67%2.59公平赔率
EV -1.39%
优势 -0.544%
Kelly -0.896%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.19%38.61%38.68%42.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.412.452.5545.45%41.46%40.82%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pelicans (主队):61.33%;Sport (客队):38.67%。 对于“Sport (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.59。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.55,期望值为-1.39%,未产生正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -14.92%E -6.78%K -12.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 06:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -14.92%E -6.78%K -12.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -14.92%E -6.78%K -12.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 06:50
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -1.87%E -1.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -14.92%E -6.78%K -12.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 06:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.49%E -1.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -3.10%E -1.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -7.58%E -3.17%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.71%E -2.37%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.26%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.33%E -2.77%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.32%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.33%E -2.77%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.19%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:55
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.55%E -3.61%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.10%E -1.65%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.32%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 10:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.32%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 10:54
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.32%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.96%E -3.35%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 10:54
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.39%E -4.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.39%E -0.544%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.39%E -4.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.39%E -0.544%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.39%E -4.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.39%E -0.544%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%8.5%2026-09-04 10:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%3.0%2026-09-04 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%3.0%2026-09-04 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%3.0%2026-09-04 13:05
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.95%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%3.2%2026-09-04 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%5.5%2026-09-04 10:54
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-09-04 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-09-04 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-09-04 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.0%2026-09-04 13:05
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%6.1%2026-09-04 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%8.4%2026-09-04 10:59
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%8.6%2026-09-04 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.60%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.22%11.0%2026-09-04 10:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%11.0%2026-09-04 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%11.8%2026-09-04 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.54%12.3%2026-09-04 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.99%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%15.8%2026-09-04 10:54