Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans v KalPa

2026-09-09 15:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

40%

36%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 39.66%2.52fair odd

EV -5.61%

Edge -2.36%

Kelly -4.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.39%40.31%39.66%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.262.272.3847.62%44.20%44.05%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KalPa (Visit)

Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd

EV +4.99%

Edge +1.69%

Kelly +2.56%

Growth +0.128%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.89%34.92%35.59%36.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.582.562.9543.48%38.83%38.99%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd

EV +1.48%

Edge +0.361%

Kelly +0.477%

Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.88%24.77%24.75%25.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.453.753.754.1028.99%26.67%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pelicans (Local): 39.66%; KalPa (Visit): 35.59%; Draw: 24.75%. For KalPa (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.95, producing a positive expected value of +4.99%.

7 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.55%EV -9.58%E -4.20%K -7.48%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%EV +4.99%E +1.69%K +2.56%G +0.128%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV -2.23%E -0.565%K -0.757%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-06 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-06 16:30
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.32%EV -9.98%E -4.39%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.80%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV +1.48%E +0.361%K +0.477%G +0.007%	6.6%	2026-09-06 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-06 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 39.70%EV -9.98%E -4.39%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 35.62%EV -9.95%E -3.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-09-06 16:33
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.77%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-09-06 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.75%E -5.80%K -10.63%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 35.67%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -12.13%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-09-06 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 39.66%EV -16.72%E -7.96%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 36.21%EV -18.14%E -7.89%K -13.95%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%EV -14.61%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%	20.1%	2026-09-06 16:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (7)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
NordicBet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%	3.9%	2026-09-06 18:24
Betsson🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%	5.2%	2026-09-06 18:25
Pinnacle🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%	5.8%	2026-09-06 16:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%	6.8%	2026-09-06 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%	6.8%	2026-09-06 16:30
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%	7.8%	2026-09-06 16:30
Smarkets◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.07%	1.89I 52.91%NM 47.93%	10.4%	2026-09-06 16:30