The School of Odds
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Pelicans v HIFK

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 52.74%1.90fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.75%52.76%54.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.771.771.8757.80%56.36%56.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HIFK (Visit)

Prediction 47.26%2.12fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.55%47.25%47.24%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.012.002.0851.28%49.63%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pelicans (Local): 52.74%; HIFK (Visit): 47.26%. For Pelicans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.37%E -0.732%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 11:45
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.13%E -1.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 11:01
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 05:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 05:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 05:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 14:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.71%E -0.821%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 11:45
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.71%E -0.821%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 11:45
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.71%E -0.821%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 13:34
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 13:34
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-03-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-03-06 16:25
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%8.1%2026-03-06 12:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.09%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-03-06 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%3.2%2026-03-06 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%3.2%2026-03-06 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%3.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%5.2%2026-03-06 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.42%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.80%6.7%2026-03-06 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%8.8%2026-03-06 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%9.4%2026-03-06 11:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%9.6%2026-03-06 11:00
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%11.3%2026-03-06 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%11.8%2026-03-06 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%17.1%2026-03-06 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 40.10%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.29%3.47I 28.82%NM 24.61%17.1%2026-03-06 16:04