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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Pelicans v HIFK

开赛时间： 2026-03-06 16:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pelicans (主队)

预测 52.74%1.90公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.732%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
51.05%52.75%52.76%54.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.771.771.8757.80%56.36%56.50%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

HIFK (客队)

预测 47.26%2.12公平赔率
EV -1.71%
优势 -0.821%
Kelly -1.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
45.55%47.25%47.24%48.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.012.002.0851.28%49.63%50.00%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pelicans (主队)：52.74%；HIFK (客队)：47.26%。 对于“Pelicans (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.90。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.87，期望值为-1.37%，未产生正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.37%E -0.732%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 11:45
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.13%E -1.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 11:01
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 05:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 05:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 05:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 14:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.71%E -0.821%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 11:45
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.71%E -0.821%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 11:45
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.71%E -0.821%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 13:34
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 13:34
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 13:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-03-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-03-06 16:25
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%8.1%2026-03-06 12:35

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.09%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-03-06 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%3.2%2026-03-06 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%3.2%2026-03-06 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%3.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%5.2%2026-03-06 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%6.2%2026-03-06 11:45
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.42%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.80%6.7%2026-03-06 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%8.8%2026-03-06 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%9.4%2026-03-06 11:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%9.6%2026-03-06 11:00
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%11.3%2026-03-06 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%11.8%2026-03-06 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%17.1%2026-03-06 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 40.10%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.29%3.47I 28.82%NM 24.61%17.1%2026-03-06 16:04