The School of Odds
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KooKoo v Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KooKoo (Local)

Prediction 67.40%1.48fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -6.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.43%67.54%67.58%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.391.4475.19%72.38%71.94%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 32.60%3.07fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.344%
Kelly +0.508%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%32.46%32.42%33.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.87%33.96%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KooKoo (Local): 67.40%; Pelicans (Visit): 32.60%. For Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.07%E +0.344%K +0.508%G +0.005%4.7%2026-03-28 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.07%E +0.344%K +0.508%G +0.005%5.8%2026-03-28 01:00
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.07%E +0.344%K +0.508%G +0.005%5.8%2026-03-28 01:00
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.36%E -7.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.19%E -0.731%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.36%E -7.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.19%E -0.731%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.36%E -7.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.19%E -0.731%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 09:09
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.36%E -7.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.19%E -0.731%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 09:09
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.84%E -0.955%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 06:09
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.84%E -0.955%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 06:10
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -5.13%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 17:59
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 18:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 18:38
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.95%E -2.05%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.08%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.62%E -2.53%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.08%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 18:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.71%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 66.34%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.66%8.4%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-28 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-28 01:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.98%3.0%2026-03-27 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-03-28 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-03-27 19:35
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.37%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%6.2%2026-03-27 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%6.4%2026-03-28 01:05
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%6.4%2026-03-28 01:05
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%6.4%2026-03-28 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%6.4%2026-03-28 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%9.4%2026-03-28 01:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%9.9%2026-03-27 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%11.0%2026-03-27 19:35
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%11.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%14.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%14.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%15.1%2026-03-27 19:36
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.49%15.5%2026-03-27 19:40