La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
18 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.07%E +0.344%K +0.508%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.07%E +0.344%K +0.508%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.07%E +0.344%K +0.508%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.36%E -7.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.19%E -0.731%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.36%E -7.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.19%E -0.731%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.36%E -7.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.19%E -0.731%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.36%E -7.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.19%E -0.731%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.84%E -0.955%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 06:09 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.30%E -3.03%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.84%E -0.955%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 06:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -5.13%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 18:04 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.10%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 18:38 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.95%E -2.05%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.08%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.62%E -2.53%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.08%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.71%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 19:35 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.34% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.66% | 8.4% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.98% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.37% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75% | 9.4% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 19:35 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92% | 11.5% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08% | 14.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08% | 14.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.97% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17% | 15.1% | 2026-03-27 19:36 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.49% | 15.5% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |