Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kärpät v JYP

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

44%

33%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kärpät (Local)

Prediction 44.38%2.25fair odd

EV -2.36%

Edge -1.07%

Kelly -1.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.82%44.38%44.37%44.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.902.032.012.2052.63%49.20%49.75%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

JYP (Visit)

Prediction 32.89%3.04fair odd

EV -1.32%

Edge -0.440%

Kelly -0.660%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.40%32.89%33.11%33.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.452.742.743.0040.82%36.50%36.56%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.73%4.40fair odd

EV -3.41%

Edge -0.803%

Kelly -1.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.89%22.73%22.52%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.754.014.004.2526.67%24.92%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kärpät (Local): 44.38%; JYP (Visit): 32.89%; Draw: 22.73%. For JYP (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.00, with an expected value of -1.32%; they do not produce positive expected value.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.18%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.40%EV -1.32%E -0.440%K -0.660%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 23.42%EV -5.68%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-09-02 05:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.59%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.17%EV -6.25%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -3.41%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-02 05:19
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 44.37%EV -9.91%E -4.88%K -9.62%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 33.11%EV -10.53%E -3.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-09-02 05:18
1xBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.35%E -5.13%K -10.15%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-09-02 05:55
Paddy Power🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -11.24%E -5.62%K -11.24%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.09%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-09-02 05:20
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.87%EV -11.24%E -5.62%K -11.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -11.19%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -6.82%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-09-02 05:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 44.10%EV -11.68%E -5.87%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.50%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-09-02 05:20
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 43.82%EV -15.68%E -8.25%K -17.42%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 33.98%EV -19.41%E -7.92%K -13.39%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 22.20%EV -14.77%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%	20.1%	2026-09-02 05:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
NordicBet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%	4.3%	2026-09-02 06:19
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%	5.1%	2026-09-02 06:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%	5.7%	2026-09-02 05:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%	6.4%	2026-09-02 05:45