语言:简体中文
Kärpät v JYP
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Kärpät (主队)
预测 44.55%2.24公平赔率
EV -0.656%
优势 -0.294%
Kelly -0.533%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.23
博彩公司预测分布
43.24%44.54%44.67%44.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.102.102.2353.19%47.63%47.51%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
JYP (客队)
预测 31.94%3.13公平赔率
EV -4.19%
优势 -1.40%
Kelly -2.10%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
31.10%31.88%31.95%33.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.832.853.0039.22%35.29%35.09%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.51%4.25公平赔率
EV +1.11%
优势 +0.259%
Kelly +0.337%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 4.30
博彩公司预测分布
21.89%23.59%23.38%24.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.653.964.004.3027.40%25.25%25.00%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Kärpät (主队)：44.55%；JYP (客队)：31.94%；平局：23.51%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.25。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.30，对应+1.11%的正期望值。
有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.61%EV -6.00%E -2.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.50%EV -10.26%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV +1.11%E +0.259%K +0.337%G +0.004% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.18%EV -1.99%E -0.906%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.40%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.42%EV -2.41%E -0.582%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 05:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.24%EV -0.656%E -0.294%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -3.59%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.24%EV -0.656%E -0.294%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -3.59%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 06:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.24%EV -0.656%E -0.294%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -3.59%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.79%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.59%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.52%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.98%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.94%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.52%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.98%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.94%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.52%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.98%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.94%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.52%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.98%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.94%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 06:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.94%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -5.94%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.79%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.77%E -5.10%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.64%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 06:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.90%E -5.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.35%EV -12.24%E -6.21%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.36%EV -13.77%E -5.10%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.30%EV -11.82%E -3.15%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -13.00%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 11:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 44.40%EV -16.25%E -8.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.73%EV -18.56%E -7.28%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 22.87%EV -14.17%E -3.88%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 12:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 11:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 11:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:05 |