語言:繁體中文
Kärpät v Ässät
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Kärpät (主隊)
預測 52.69%1.90公平賠率
EV -5.15%
優勢 -2.86%
Kelly -6.44%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.80
博彩公司預測分布
51.33%52.97%52.53%55.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.651.741.741.8060.61%57.40%57.47%55.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Ässät (客隊)
預測 24.98%4.00公平賠率
EV +7.39%
優勢 +1.72%
Kelly +2.24%
成長率 +0.166%
假設最高賠率為 4.30
博彩公司預測分布
22.55%24.69%25.22%26.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.303.723.774.3030.30%26.86%26.49%23.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 22.33%4.48公平賠率
EV +0.490%
優勢 +0.109%
Kelly +0.140%
成長率 +0.001%
假設最高賠率為 4.50
博彩公司預測分布
21.22%22.34%22.25%22.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.854.244.334.5025.97%23.60%23.12%22.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Kärpät (主隊)：52.69%；Ässät (客隊)：24.98%；和局：22.33%。 對於「Ässät (客隊)」，該估計相當於4.00的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.30，對應+7.39%的正期望值。
有 19 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（2 個賽果，而分析採用 3 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (18 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 和局 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV +7.39%E +1.72%K +2.24%G +0.166% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -1.35%E -0.341%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.490%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -1.35%E -0.341%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.490%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -1.35%E -0.341%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.490%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -5.09%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.49%EV -7.84%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -13.06%E -7.91%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.57%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.56%EV -13.34%E -3.84%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.86%EV -13.36%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -14.03%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.55%EV -11.47%E -6.83%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -12.91%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (19)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 10:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 10:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 07:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 07:35 |