语言:简体中文
Kärpät v Ässät
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Kärpät (主队)
预测 52.69%1.90公平赔率
EV -5.15%
优势 -2.86%
Kelly -6.44%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.80
博彩公司预测分布
51.33%52.97%52.53%55.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.741.741.8060.61%57.40%57.47%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ässät (客队)
预测 24.98%4.00公平赔率
EV +7.39%
优势 +1.72%
Kelly +2.24%
增长率 +0.166%
假设最高赔率为 4.30
博彩公司预测分布
22.55%24.69%25.22%26.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.723.774.3030.30%26.86%26.49%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.33%4.48公平赔率
EV +0.490%
优势 +0.109%
Kelly +0.140%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
21.22%22.34%22.25%22.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.244.334.5025.97%23.60%23.12%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Kärpät (主队)：52.69%；Ässät (客队)：24.98%；平局：22.33%。 对于“Ässät (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.00。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.30，对应+7.39%的正期望值。
有 19 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV +7.39%E +1.72%K +2.24%G +0.166% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -1.35%E -0.341%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.490%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -1.35%E -0.341%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.490%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -1.35%E -0.341%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV +0.490%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -5.09%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.49%EV -7.84%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -1.74%E -0.396%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -13.06%E -7.91%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -10.09%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.57%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.56%EV -13.34%E -3.84%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.86%EV -13.36%E -3.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -14.03%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.55%EV -11.47%E -6.83%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -12.91%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-01 13:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (19)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 10:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 10:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 07:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 07:35 |