Language:English
KalPa v JYP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KalPa (Local)
Prediction 47.65%2.10fair odd
EV +2.93%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +2.53%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.67%47.58%47.65%48.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.022.022.1653.76%49.50%49.38%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
JYP (Visit)
Prediction 29.24%3.42fair odd
EV +0.888%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.363%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.17%29.25%29.24%31.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.003.4535.71%33.14%33.33%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.10%4.33fair odd
EV +0.041%
Edge +0.009%
Kelly +0.012%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.74%23.17%23.10%24.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.633.943.954.3327.55%25.38%25.32%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KalPa (Local): 47.65%; JYP (Visit): 29.24%; Draw: 23.10%. For KalPa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.93%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV +2.93%E +1.36%K +2.53%G +0.074% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.15%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV +2.93%E +1.36%K +2.53%G +0.074% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.15%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV +2.93%E +1.36%K +2.53%G +0.074% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.15%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV +0.071%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV +0.071%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV +0.071%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 12:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV +0.071%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -13.73%E -4.66%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.36%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -13.73%E -4.66%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV +0.041%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 14:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -3.74%E -1.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV +0.888%E +0.257%K +0.363%G +0.003% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -5.27%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%EV -3.74%E -1.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -5.27%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -4.69%E -2.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -16.66%E -5.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -11.05%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 10:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93%EV -8.51%E -4.43%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -13.73%E -4.66%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.46%E -4.98%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.13%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.43%EV -16.66%E -5.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.44%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.43%EV -11.37%E -6.11%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.84%EV -18.12%E -6.47%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-14 13:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.04%EV -11.37%E -6.11%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.37%EV -17.53%E -6.22%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 23.59%EV -16.13%E -4.44%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-14 14:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 13:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 12:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 12:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |