默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

KalPa v JYP

开赛时间： 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

48%

29%

23%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

KalPa (主队)

预测 47.65%2.10公平赔率

EV +2.93%

优势 +1.36%

Kelly +2.53%

增长率 +0.074%

假设最高赔率为 2.16

博彩公司预测分布

44.67%47.58%47.65%48.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.862.022.022.1653.76%49.50%49.38%46.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

JYP (客队)

预测 29.24%3.42公平赔率

EV +0.888%

优势 +0.257%

Kelly +0.363%

增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 3.45

博彩公司预测分布

28.17%29.25%29.24%31.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.803.023.003.4535.71%33.14%33.33%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.10%4.33公平赔率

EV +0.041%

优势 +0.009%

Kelly +0.012%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.33

博彩公司预测分布

21.74%23.17%23.10%24.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.633.943.954.3327.55%25.38%25.32%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：KalPa (主队)：47.65%；JYP (客队)：29.24%；平局：23.10%。对于“KalPa (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.10。当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.16，对应+2.93%的正期望值。

有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV +2.93%E +1.36%K +2.53%G +0.074%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.15%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-03-14 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV +2.93%E +1.36%K +2.53%G +0.074%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.15%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-03-14 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV +2.93%E +1.36%K +2.53%G +0.074%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.15%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-03-14 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV +0.071%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-14 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV +0.071%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-14 12:30
Grosvenor🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV +0.071%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-14 12:29
Casumo🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV +0.071%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-14 12:30
LeoVegas🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -13.73%E -4.66%K -7.04%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-14 12:30
1xBet🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.36%EV -3.26%E -1.61%K -3.17%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -13.73%E -4.66%K -7.04%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV +0.041%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-14 14:39
Coolbet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -3.74%E -1.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV +0.888%E +0.257%K +0.363%G +0.003%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -5.27%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-03-14 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%EV -3.74%E -1.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -5.27%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-14 13:15
Everygame🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -4.69%E -2.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -16.66%E -5.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -11.05%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-03-14 14:55
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-14 10:34
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93%EV -8.51%E -4.43%K -9.25%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -13.73%E -4.66%K -7.04%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-03-14 13:15
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.46%E -4.98%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.58%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-03-14 14:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 46.13%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.43%EV -16.66%E -5.84%K -9.00%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 23.44%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.38%G +0.000%	15.3%	2026-03-14 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 46.43%EV -11.37%E -6.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.84%EV -18.12%E -6.47%K -10.07%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-03-14 13:14
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 46.04%EV -11.37%E -6.11%K -13.22%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 30.37%EV -17.53%E -6.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%	3.63I 27.55%NM 23.59%EV -16.13%E -4.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%	16.8%	2026-03-14 14:36

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%	1.6%	2026-03-14 14:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%	3.2%	2026-03-14 13:14
DraftKings🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%	4.3%	2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%	4.4%	2026-03-14 14:55
BetRivers🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%	5.1%	2026-03-14 12:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%	5.1%	2026-03-14 12:29
betPARX🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%	5.1%	2026-03-14 12:29
Pinnacle🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%	5.2%	2026-03-14 12:30
William Hill🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%	5.2%	2026-03-14 13:25
Betsson🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%	5.3%	2026-03-14 12:15
NordicBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%	5.3%	2026-03-14 12:15
888sport🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%	5.6%	2026-03-14 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%	5.6%	2026-03-14 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%	5.6%	2026-03-14 13:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%	6.2%	2026-03-14 06:29
Paddy Power🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%	7.2%	2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%	8.0%	2026-03-14 06:30
Coral🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%	8.0%	2026-03-14 06:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%	8.0%	2026-03-14 06:29
Neds🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%	8.0%	2026-03-14 06:29
Smarkets◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%	2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%	8.3%	2026-03-14 13:15