Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

JYP v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

JYP (Local)

Prediction 33.12%3.02fair odd
EV +9.30%
Edge +2.82%
Kelly +4.04%
Growth +0.376%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%33.18%33.12%34.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.962.963.3039.22%33.80%33.73%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 43.86%2.28fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.81%43.64%43.86%45.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.072.062.2050.76%48.27%48.54%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.02%4.34fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.239%
Kelly -0.312%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%23.17%23.02%25.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.633.873.854.3027.55%25.83%25.97%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JYP (Local): 33.12%; KooKoo (Visit): 43.86%; Draw: 23.02%. For JYP (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.30%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV +9.30%E +2.82%K +4.04%G +0.376%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -7.01%E -3.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 14:24
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV +9.30%E +2.82%K +4.04%G +0.376%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -7.01%E -3.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV +9.30%E +2.82%K +4.04%G +0.376%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -7.01%E -3.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV +5.99%E +1.87%K +2.72%G +0.163%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -9.64%E -4.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV +5.99%E +1.87%K +2.72%G +0.163%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -9.64%E -4.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:24
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV +5.99%E +1.87%K +2.72%G +0.163%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -9.64%E -4.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:24
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV +5.99%E +1.87%K +2.72%G +0.163%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -9.64%E -4.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 14:25
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV +4.33%E +1.38%K +2.01%G +0.087%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -12.28%E -6.14%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -15.99%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 14:24
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.76%EV +1.02%E +0.334%K +0.497%G +0.005%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.03%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 10:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -4.61%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 14:24
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.06%EV -8.33%E -3.98%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.03%E -0.239%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 16:14
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.98%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.28%E -6.14%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-27 10:39
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 10:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.57%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -10.08%E -4.92%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 14:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -12.23%E -4.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 14:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -13.88%E -5.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -12.28%E -6.14%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -14.84%E -4.01%K -5.50%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-27 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 33.11%EV -14.55%E -5.64%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.36%EV -13.59%E -6.90%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 23.53%EV -16.45%E -4.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-27 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -15.54%E -6.09%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.53%EV -13.15%E -6.64%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-27 14:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%4.0%2026-02-27 11:14
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%4.2%2026-02-27 10:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%4.5%2026-02-27 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%4.5%2026-02-27 16:15
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%4.9%2026-02-27 15:05
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%5.2%2026-02-27 14:24
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%5.2%2026-02-27 14:25
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%5.2%2026-02-27 14:24
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%5.4%2026-02-27 10:34
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%5.4%2026-02-27 10:34
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-02-27 10:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-02-27 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-02-27 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-02-27 11:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%6.1%2026-02-27 11:15
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%6.8%2026-02-27 14:31
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%7.1%2026-02-27 14:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-02-27 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-02-27 10:40
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-02-27 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-02-27 10:39
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-02-27 10:39