L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 3.30
avec la cote maximale 2.20
avec la cote maximale 4.30
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (2 issues, contre le format 3 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV +9.30%E +2.82%K +4.04%G +0.376% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -7.01%E -3.31%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV +9.30%E +2.82%K +4.04%G +0.376% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -7.01%E -3.31%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 14:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV +9.30%E +2.82%K +4.04%G +0.376% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -7.01%E -3.31%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV +5.99%E +1.87%K +2.72%G +0.163% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -9.64%E -4.68%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV +5.99%E +1.87%K +2.72%G +0.163% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -9.64%E -4.68%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 14:24 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV +5.99%E +1.87%K +2.72%G +0.163% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -9.64%E -4.68%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 14:24 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV +5.99%E +1.87%K +2.72%G +0.163% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -9.64%E -4.68%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -13.69%E -3.65%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 14:25 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV +4.33%E +1.38%K +2.01%G +0.087% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -12.28%E -6.14%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -15.99%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 14:24 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.76%EV +1.02%E +0.334%K +0.497%G +0.005% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.03%EV -3.50%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 10:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -4.61%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 14:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.06%EV -8.33%E -3.98%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.03%E -0.239%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.98%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.28%E -6.14%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -11.39%E -2.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-27 10:39 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -7.89%E -3.76%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 10:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.57%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -10.08%E -4.92%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -7.93%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -12.23%E -4.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81%EV -5.70%E -2.65%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 14:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -13.88%E -5.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -12.28%E -6.14%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -14.84%E -4.01%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-27 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 33.11%EV -14.55%E -5.64%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.36%EV -13.59%E -6.90%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 23.53%EV -16.45%E -4.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -15.54%E -6.09%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.53%EV -13.15%E -6.64%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.54%E -3.30%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-27 14:24 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 11:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 10:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 15:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 14:24 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 14:25 |
| Bally Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 14:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 10:34 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 10:34 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 10:39 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 11:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 11:15 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 14:31 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 14:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 10:40 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 10:39 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 10:39 |