Language:English
HIFK v SaiPa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HIFK (Local)
Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV +2.12%
Edge +0.718%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.89%34.22%34.62%35.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.722.752.9540.82%36.72%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SaiPa (Visit)
Prediction 43.06%2.32fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.93%43.13%43.06%44.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.122.2850.00%46.95%47.17%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.32%4.48fair odd
EV +0.438%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.125%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.41%22.65%22.32%24.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.214.304.5026.67%23.77%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HIFK (Local): 34.62%; SaiPa (Visit): 43.06%; Draw: 22.32%. For HIFK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%EV +2.12%E +0.718%K +1.09%G +0.023% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.55%EV -1.81%E -0.795%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV -11.84%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -1.34%E -0.471%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.46%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +0.438%E +0.097%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -1.34%E -0.471%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.46%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +0.438%E +0.097%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -1.34%E -0.471%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.46%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +0.438%E +0.097%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.55%EV -8.70%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -2.91%E -0.669%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.55%EV -8.70%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -2.91%E -0.669%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.55%EV -8.70%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -2.91%E -0.669%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.55%EV -8.70%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -2.91%E -0.669%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.61%EV -5.84%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.98%EV -5.69%E -2.60%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -11.72%E -5.72%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.84%EV -9.57%E -4.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 15:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.02%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.93%EV -7.41%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -16.30%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.57%E -4.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.81%EV -9.57%E -4.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 34.33%EV -12.42%E -4.91%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.00%EV -13.01%E -6.44%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 22.68%EV -14.52%E -3.79%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-04 10:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.15%EV -15.19%E -6.20%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.05%EV -13.87%E -6.94%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.80%EV -11.84%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 04:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 19:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 13:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09% | 6.3% | 2026-03-02 17:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 12:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 31.46% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 68.54% | 44.5% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 31.46% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 68.54% | 44.5% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |