语言:简体中文
HIFK v SaiPa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HIFK (主队)
预测 34.62%2.89公平赔率
EV +2.12%
优势 +0.718%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.023%
假设最高赔率为 2.95
博彩公司预测分布
32.89%34.22%34.62%35.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.722.752.9540.82%36.72%36.36%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
SaiPa (客队)
预测 43.06%2.32公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -0.795%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.28
博彩公司预测分布
41.93%43.13%43.06%44.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.132.122.2850.00%46.95%47.17%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.32%4.48公平赔率
EV +0.438%
优势 +0.097%
Kelly +0.125%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
21.41%22.65%22.32%24.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.214.304.5026.67%23.77%23.26%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HIFK (主队)：34.62%；SaiPa (客队)：43.06%；平局：22.32%。 对于“HIFK (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.89。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.95，对应+2.12%的正期望值。
有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%EV +2.12%E +0.718%K +1.09%G +0.023% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.55%EV -1.81%E -0.795%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV -11.84%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -1.34%E -0.471%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.46%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +0.438%E +0.097%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -1.34%E -0.471%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.46%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +0.438%E +0.097%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -1.34%E -0.471%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.46%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +0.438%E +0.097%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.55%EV -8.70%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -2.91%E -0.669%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.55%EV -8.70%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -2.91%E -0.669%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.55%EV -8.70%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -2.91%E -0.669%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.55%EV -8.70%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -2.91%E -0.669%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.61%EV -5.84%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.98%EV -5.69%E -2.60%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -11.72%E -5.72%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.84%EV -9.57%E -4.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 15:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.02%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.93%EV -7.41%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -16.30%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.57%E -4.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.81%EV -9.57%E -4.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 34.33%EV -12.42%E -4.91%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.00%EV -13.01%E -6.44%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 22.68%EV -14.52%E -3.79%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-04 10:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.15%EV -15.19%E -6.20%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.05%EV -13.87%E -6.94%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.80%EV -11.84%E -3.00%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 04:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 19:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 13:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09% | 6.3% | 2026-03-02 17:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 12:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 31.46% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 68.54% | 44.5% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 31.46% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 68.54% | 44.5% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |