The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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HIFK v KalPa

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HIFK (Local)

Prediction 64.03%1.56fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.34%64.19%64.07%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.501.5369.93%67.68%66.89%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KalPa (Visit)

Prediction 35.97%2.78fair odd
EV +0.706%
Edge +0.252%
Kelly +0.392%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.81%35.93%37.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.612.8040.00%37.74%38.31%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HIFK (Local): 64.03%; KalPa (Visit): 35.97%. For KalPa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.706%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +0.706%E +0.252%K +0.392%G +0.003%5.2%2026-03-24 14:25
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.43%E -5.90%K -19.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.706%E +0.252%K +0.392%G +0.003%5.6%2026-03-24 11:59
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.43%E -5.90%K -19.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.706%E +0.252%K +0.392%G +0.003%5.6%2026-03-24 11:59
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 16:24
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 15:29
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 15:04
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 15:09
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 12:19
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 13:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 07:14
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 07:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 08:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%6.3%2026-03-24 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%7.2%2026-03-24 13:29
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 65.04%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.96%7.5%2026-03-24 16:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%2.9%2026-03-24 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-03-24 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-03-24 14:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-03-24 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-24 07:34
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.2%2026-03-24 16:05
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-03-24 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-03-24 14:24
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-03-24 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-03-24 14:25
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%7.0%2026-03-24 07:34
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%9.4%2026-03-24 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%10.9%2026-03-24 07:35
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%11.5%2026-03-24 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.38%16.0%2026-03-24 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.39%17.1%2026-03-24 16:03