语言:简体中文
HIFK v KalPa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HIFK (主队)
预测 64.03%1.56公平赔率
EV -2.03%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -3.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.53
博彩公司预测分布
62.34%64.19%64.07%66.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.481.501.5369.93%67.68%66.89%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
KalPa (客队)
预测 35.97%2.78公平赔率
EV +0.706%
优势 +0.252%
Kelly +0.392%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 2.80
博彩公司预测分布
33.81%35.81%35.93%37.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.652.612.8040.00%37.74%38.31%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HIFK (主队)：64.03%；KalPa (客队)：35.97%。 对于“KalPa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.78。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.80，对应+0.706%的正期望值。
有 16 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +0.706%E +0.252%K +0.392%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.43%E -5.90%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.706%E +0.252%K +0.392%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 11:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.43%E -5.90%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.706%E +0.252%K +0.392%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-24 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-24 15:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 07:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 07:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 08:18 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79% | 7.2% | 2026-03-24 13:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.04% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.96% | 7.5% | 2026-03-24 16:05 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (16)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28% | 2.9% | 2026-03-24 15:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-24 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-24 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 3.1% | 2026-03-24 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 07:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58% | 6.5% | 2026-03-24 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58% | 6.5% | 2026-03-24 14:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58% | 6.5% | 2026-03-24 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58% | 6.5% | 2026-03-24 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 07:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55% | 10.9% | 2026-03-24 07:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58% | 11.5% | 2026-03-24 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.38% | 16.0% | 2026-03-24 16:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 27.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.39% | 17.1% | 2026-03-24 16:03 |