預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HIFK v HPK

開賽時間: 2026-09-04 16:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

17 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HIFK (主隊)

預測 48.92%2.04公平賠率
EV -3.63%
優勢 -1.84%
Kelly -3.74%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.97

博彩公司預測分布
48.15%49.06%49.00%50.43%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.781.881.871.9756.18%53.17%53.48%50.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

HPK (客隊)

預測 27.58%3.63公平賠率
EV +0.665%
優勢 +0.182%
Kelly +0.251%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 3.65

博彩公司預測分布
26.56%27.49%27.75%28.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.003.423.403.6533.33%29.22%29.41%27.40%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.50%4.25公平賠率
EV -1.29%
優勢 -0.307%
Kelly -0.403%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布
22.42%23.45%23.25%24.23%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.734.034.104.2026.81%24.81%24.39%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:HIFK (主隊):48.92%;HPK (客隊):27.58%;和局:23.50%。 對於「HPK (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.63的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.65,對應+0.665%的正期望值。

有 18 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (17 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV +0.665%E +0.182%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV +0.665%E +0.182%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV +0.665%E +0.182%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.21%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.665%E +0.182%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 10:39
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -2.09%E -0.590%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.64%E -0.888%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -2.09%E -0.590%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.64%E -0.888%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -2.09%E -0.590%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.64%E -0.888%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -2.09%E -0.590%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.64%E -0.888%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.93%EV -5.10%E -2.63%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.64%E -0.888%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -3.64%E -0.888%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.16%EV -12.93%E -7.26%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -7.61%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -9.52%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 14:30
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.30%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.28%EV -8.16%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.99%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.15%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.14%EV -12.34%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 11:28
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -9.50%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%EV -9.01%E -4.85%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.13%E -4.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.36%EV -12.93%E -7.26%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.69%EV -17.26%E -5.75%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -11.87%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-04 11:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (18)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%3.7%2026-09-04 11:00
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%4.1%2026-09-04 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%4.2%2026-09-04 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%5.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%5.3%2026-09-04 14:29
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%5.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%5.4%2026-09-04 14:29
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%5.4%2026-09-04 14:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-09-04 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-09-04 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-09-04 10:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%5.8%2026-09-04 11:09
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%7.4%2026-09-04 11:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%7.5%2026-09-02 06:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%7.5%2026-09-02 06:30
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%7.5%2026-09-02 06:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%7.5%2026-09-02 06:35
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 60.62%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.38%8.5%2026-09-04 11:10