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Syracuse Crunch v Utica Comets

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 23:14 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch (Local)

Prediction 47.30%2.11fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.56%47.30%49.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.942.0555.56%52.11%51.55%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utica Comets (Visit)

Prediction 30.08%3.32fair odd
EV -0.721%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.313%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%30.12%30.08%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.113.103.3035.09%32.18%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.62%4.42fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -0.856%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%22.32%22.62%23.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.953.904.2627.03%25.31%25.64%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Crunch (Local): 47.30%; Utica Comets (Visit): 30.08%; Draw: 22.62%. For Utica Comets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.721%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 22:59
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.26%EV -6.35%E -3.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.78%EV -8.54%E -2.81%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.96%EV -3.65%E -0.856%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.26%EV -6.82%E -3.46%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 22:58
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.77%E -3.98%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.05%EV -7.77%E -3.98%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -14.26%E -5.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 23:10
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -9.66%E -5.06%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.81%EV -10.66%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -11.08%E -5.89%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -11.08%E -5.89%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.18%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.03%E -6.47%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.47%EV -14.26%E -5.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.85%EV -14.05%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.53%EV -12.50%E -6.76%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.20%EV -14.26%E -5.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.27%EV -16.31%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 23:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.33%EV -13.92%E -7.65%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.70%EV -12.75%E -4.40%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -15.18%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -14.87%E -8.26%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%5.2%2026-04-11 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%5.2%2026-04-11 22:59
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%5.9%2026-04-11 23:10
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%6.9%2026-04-11 23:10
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%7.9%2026-04-11 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%7.9%2026-04-11 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%8.1%2026-04-11 22:59
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21%8.3%2026-04-11 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%8.8%2026-04-11 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-04-11 22:59