La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.26
10 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.26%EV -6.35%E -3.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.78%EV -8.54%E -2.81%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.96%EV -3.65%E -0.856%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.26%EV -6.82%E -3.46%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 22:58 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.77%E -3.98%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.05%EV -7.77%E -3.98%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -14.26%E -5.00%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -0.721%E -0.218%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -9.66%E -5.06%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.81%EV -10.66%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -11.08%E -5.89%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -11.08%E -5.89%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.18%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.03%E -6.47%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.47%EV -14.26%E -5.00%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.85%EV -14.05%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.53%EV -12.50%E -6.76%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.20%EV -14.26%E -5.00%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.27%EV -16.31%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-11 23:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.33%EV -13.92%E -7.65%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.70%EV -12.75%E -4.40%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -15.18%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -14.87%E -8.26%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -6.74%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |