The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

San Jose Barracuda v Calgary Wranglers

Kickoff: 2026-10-14 17:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Barracuda (Local)

Prediction 37.35%2.68fair odd
EV -8.11%
Edge -3.30%
Kelly -5.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.53%37.44%37.35%38.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.432.4645.45%41.54%41.15%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Wranglers (Visit)

Prediction 41.12%2.43fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.44%41.18%41.12%41.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.232.3747.62%45.06%44.84%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.53%4.64fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -0.990%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.33%21.38%21.53%22.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.274.404.4426.32%23.44%22.73%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Barracuda (Local): 37.35%; Calgary Wranglers (Visit): 41.12%; Draw: 21.53%. For Calgary Wranglers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -2.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.31%EV -8.11%E -3.30%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -2.56%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -7.41%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 23:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.49%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.74%EV -6.67%E -2.94%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.41%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 17:30
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.08%EV -8.49%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.29%EV -9.55%E -4.34%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -9.56%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-14 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -8.49%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.55%E -4.34%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.72%E -2.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-14 17:33
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.25%EV -8.31%E -3.73%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -5.26%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 23:25
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.25%EV -8.31%E -3.73%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -5.26%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 23:24
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.25%EV -8.31%E -3.73%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -5.26%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.25%EV -8.31%E -3.73%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -5.26%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.25%EV -8.31%E -3.73%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -5.26%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.25%EV -8.31%E -3.73%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -5.26%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-12 23:24
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.64%EV -9.61%E -3.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -4.61%E -1.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -4.39%E -0.990%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-14 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.36%E -4.31%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.60%E -5.40%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -9.56%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-14 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.06%EV -12.22%E -5.20%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.61%EV -11.60%E -5.40%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -5.26%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-14 05:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.53%EV -12.22%E -5.20%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.88%EV -13.66%E -6.50%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.59%EV -18.17%E -4.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-14 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.54%EV -17.83%E -8.10%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.44%EV -11.60%E -5.40%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.02%EV -17.10%E -4.44%K -6.00%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-14 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%4.9%2026-10-14 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-10-14 09:44
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-10-14 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%7.0%2026-10-14 09:45
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%7.6%2026-10-12 23:28
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%7.6%2026-10-12 23:34
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-10-14 05:34
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%8.2%2026-10-12 23:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%9.1%2026-10-14 17:10