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Milwaukee Admirals v Grand Rapids Griffins

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Admirals (Local)

Prediction 30.59%3.27fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.966%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.99%30.58%30.61%31.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.053.053.2037.74%32.81%32.73%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 47.77%2.09fair odd
EV -6.84%
Edge -3.51%
Kelly -7.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.27%48.11%47.76%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.901.921.9556.82%52.62%52.08%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.64%4.62fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -0.749%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%21.32%21.63%23.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.114.004.5025.64%24.34%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Admirals (Local): 30.59%; Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit): 47.77%; Draw: 21.64%. For Milwaukee Admirals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -2.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 05:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 05:44
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 05:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 05:45
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 05:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 05:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 05:45
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.65%E -1.16%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.65%EV -9.71%E -5.14%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.20%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 22:50
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -10.18%E -5.42%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.61%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 05:44
GTbets🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.04%EV -7.94%E -2.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.91%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.04%EV -3.92%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 04:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%EV -7.80%E -4.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 14:54
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.75%E -4.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 04:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.64%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -9.71%E -5.14%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-16 08:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.75%EV -14.01%E -7.78%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -2.62%E -0.583%K -0.749%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.95%EV -10.18%E -5.42%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-16 08:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.47%EV -10.18%E -5.42%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-16 08:13
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.74%EV -12.83%E -4.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.36%EV -11.62%E -6.28%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.40%EV -18.95%E -7.15%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 47.27%EV -15.92%E -9.04%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -15.61%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-16 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%5.2%2026-04-17 22:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%5.6%2026-04-16 08:14
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%5.8%2026-04-17 16:04
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%6.9%2026-04-16 08:15
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%7.6%2026-04-16 05:44
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%7.6%2026-04-16 05:44
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%8.0%2026-04-16 05:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%8.1%2026-04-17 00:09
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%8.3%2026-04-17 12:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-04-17 22:50