La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
10 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 05:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 05:44 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 05:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 05:45 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 05:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 05:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.12%E -0.664%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.32%E -3.77%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 05:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.65%E -1.16%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.65%EV -9.71%E -5.14%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -10.20%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -10.18%E -5.42%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.61%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 05:44 |
| GTbets | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.04%EV -7.94%E -2.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.91%EV -6.84%E -3.51%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.04%EV -3.92%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 04:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%EV -7.80%E -4.04%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 14:54 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.75%E -4.58%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 04:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.64%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -9.71%E -5.14%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-16 08:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.75%EV -14.01%E -7.78%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -2.62%E -0.583%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.95%EV -10.18%E -5.42%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-16 08:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.47%EV -10.18%E -5.42%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-16 08:13 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.74%EV -12.83%E -4.50%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.36%EV -11.62%E -6.28%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.40%EV -18.95%E -7.15%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 47.27%EV -15.92%E -9.04%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -15.61%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-16 08:15 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 08:14 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 08:15 |
| Bally Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 05:44 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 05:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 05:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 00:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 12:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |