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Grand Rapids Griffins v Rockford IceHogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Rapids Griffins (Local)

Prediction 58.07%1.72fair odd
EV -5.92%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -9.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.67%58.31%58.07%61.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.551.561.6269.44%64.52%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rockford IceHogs (Visit)

Prediction 21.34%4.69fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.507%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.47%21.31%21.34%23.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.224.204.6025.64%23.71%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.58%4.86fair odd
EV +0.865%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.222%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.45%20.38%20.58%21.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.594.754.9025.00%21.80%21.05%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Rapids Griffins (Local): 58.07%; Rockford IceHogs (Visit): 21.34%; Draw: 20.58%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.865%.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.91%EV -15.21%E -10.42%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -1.83%E -0.397%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV +0.865%E +0.177%K +0.222%G +0.002%10.6%2026-03-05 00:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.23%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.41%EV -10.15%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.37%EV +0.248%E +0.051%K +0.064%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 23:59
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.25%EV +0.042%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 23:59
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 00:00
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 00:00
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.09%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.31%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-05 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-05 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -12.89%E -8.59%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -1.83%E -0.397%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-05 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.16%EV -16.37%E -11.37%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.69%EV -6.09%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.15%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-05 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.12%EV -11.73%E -7.72%K -22.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.71%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -15.60%E -3.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-04 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.67%EV -12.31%E -8.15%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.94%EV -16.77%E -4.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -17.66%E -4.42%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-04 23:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%4.0%2026-03-05 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%5.3%2026-03-04 23:59
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%5.8%2026-03-05 00:00
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-03-04 23:48
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-03-04 23:58
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%7.4%2026-03-05 00:00
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%7.4%2026-03-05 00:00
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%8.1%2026-03-05 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-03-04 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%8.5%2026-03-05 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%9.1%2026-03-04 23:59