La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90
11 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.91%EV -15.21%E -10.42%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -1.83%E -0.397%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV +0.865%E +0.177%K +0.222%G +0.002% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.23%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.41%EV -10.15%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.37%EV +0.248%E +0.051%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.25%EV +0.042%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 23:59 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.22%E -0.468%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -7.08%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.09%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.31%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.36%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -12.89%E -8.59%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -1.83%E -0.397%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.16%EV -16.37%E -11.37%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.69%EV -6.09%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.15%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.12%EV -11.73%E -7.72%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.71%EV -14.63%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -15.60%E -3.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-04 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.67%EV -12.31%E -8.15%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.94%EV -16.77%E -4.30%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -17.66%E -4.42%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-04 23:58 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 23:48 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 23:58 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 23:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 23:59 |