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TVB Stuttgart v SC Magdeburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TVB Stuttgart (Local)
Prediction 13.76%7.27fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -0.523%
Kelly -0.610%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.86%13.84%13.82%16.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.195.907.0018.87%16.16%16.95%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Magdeburg (Visit)
Prediction 78.15%1.28fair odd
EV -7.79%
Edge -6.60%
Kelly -43.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.06%78.15%77.99%79.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.181.1887.72%85.37%84.75%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 8.09%12.36fair odd
EV +5.18%
Edge +0.398%
Kelly +0.431%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.01%8.01%8.19%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.8012.0013.0010.53%8.48%8.33%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TVB Stuttgart (Local): 13.76%; SC Magdeburg (Visit): 78.15%; Draw: 8.09%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.36. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -7.79%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.35%E -8.06%K -58.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.66%E -0.523%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -2.91%E -0.243%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -3.66%E -0.523%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -2.91%E -0.243%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.23%EV -4.35%E -0.626%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.60%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.17%EV -8.98%E -0.798%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.54%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -11.00%E -1.00%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 17:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -11.92%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.57%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -11.00%E -1.00%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -11.92%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.57%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -11.00%E -1.00%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -3.66%E -0.523%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.96%EV -10.91%E -9.57%K -77.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -11.00%E -1.00%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.57%EV -27.06%E -5.11%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.06%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV -15.05%E -1.43%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.70%EV -17.42%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.70%EV -10.13%E -8.81%K -67.54%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.60%EV -17.07%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-22 00:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -10.54%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -19.09%E -1.91%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -10.54%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -19.09%E -1.91%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.15%EV -21.55%E -3.78%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 75.76%EV -10.91%E -9.57%K -77.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.09%EV -23.14%E -2.44%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-22 00:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.