默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TVB Stuttgart v SC Magdeburg

开赛时间: 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TVB Stuttgart (主队)

预测 13.76%7.27公平赔率
EV -3.66%
优势 -0.523%
Kelly -0.610%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
12.86%13.84%13.82%16.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.306.195.907.0018.87%16.16%16.95%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

SC Magdeburg (客队)

预测 78.15%1.28公平赔率
EV -7.79%
优势 -6.60%
Kelly -43.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.18

博彩公司预测分布
75.06%78.15%77.99%79.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.171.181.1887.72%85.37%84.75%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 8.09%12.36公平赔率
EV +5.18%
优势 +0.398%
Kelly +0.431%
增长率 +0.022%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.01%8.01%8.19%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5011.8012.0013.0010.53%8.48%8.33%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:TVB Stuttgart (主队):13.76%;SC Magdeburg (客队):78.15%;平局:8.09%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.36。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为13.00,对应+5.18%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -7.79%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.35%E -8.06%K -58.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022%8.8%2026-04-22 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022%9.7%2026-04-20 17:35
Casumo🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022%9.7%2026-04-20 17:34
Grosvenor🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022%9.7%2026-04-20 17:35
LeoVegas🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022%9.7%2026-04-20 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022%9.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022%9.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022%9.7%2026-04-20 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022%9.7%2026-04-20 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -20.18%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.27%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +5.18%E +0.398%K +0.431%G +0.022%9.7%2026-04-21 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.66%E -0.523%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -2.91%E -0.243%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 00:15
Coolbet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -3.66%E -0.523%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -2.91%E -0.243%K -0.265%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 02:55
Marathon Bet🎯6.95I 14.39%NM 13.23%EV -4.35%E -0.626%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.60%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.17%EV -8.98%E -0.798%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:30
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.54%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -11.00%E -1.00%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 17:44
Betsson🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -11.92%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.57%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -11.00%E -1.00%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 17:45
NordicBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -11.92%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.57%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -11.00%E -1.00%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 17:45
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -3.66%E -0.523%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.96%EV -10.91%E -9.57%K -77.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -11.00%E -1.00%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.57%EV -27.06%E -5.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.06%EV -8.57%E -7.32%K -50.40%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV -15.05%E -1.43%K -1.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.70%EV -17.42%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 76.70%EV -10.13%E -8.81%K -67.54%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.60%EV -17.07%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-22 00:14
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -10.54%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -19.09%E -1.91%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -10.54%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -7.79%E -6.60%K -43.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -19.09%E -1.91%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.15%EV -21.55%E -3.78%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 75.76%EV -10.91%E -9.57%K -77.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.09%EV -23.14%E -2.44%K -2.72%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-22 00:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。