Language:English
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v HSV Hamburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local)
Prediction 58.56%1.71fair odd
EV -7.48%
Edge -4.73%
Kelly -12.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.75%58.92%58.24%61.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.501.5867.57%65.88%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HSV Hamburg (Visit)
Prediction 31.23%3.20fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.458%
Kelly +0.662%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.49%30.79%31.63%32.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.073.103.2536.36%32.55%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 10.21%9.79fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.349%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.72%10.30%10.13%11.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.008.999.209.5012.50%11.13%10.87%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local): 58.56%; HSV Hamburg (Visit): 31.23%; Draw: 10.21%. For HSV Hamburg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.92%EV -10.99%E -7.23%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -10.63%E -1.21%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%EV -10.99%E -7.23%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -0.073%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -13.18%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.15%EV -13.33%E -9.01%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-13 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.15%EV -13.33%E -9.01%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-13 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-13 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-13 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-13 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.76%EV -7.48%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -7.48%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.44%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.41%EV -8.06%E -5.14%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -9.44%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.97%EV -6.03%E -0.656%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -10.07%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -8.08%E -0.897%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-13 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.88%EV -11.00%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.88%EV -6.03%E -0.656%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.88%EV -11.00%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.88%EV -6.03%E -0.656%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.83%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.17%EV -14.12%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.00%EV -9.61%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-13 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.75%EV -10.99%E -7.23%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -14.12%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -13.18%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-13 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.50% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.40% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.10% | 15.2% | 2026-03-13 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 34.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 16.65% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 49.16% | 93.7% | 2026-03-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 34.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 16.65% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 49.16% | 93.7% | 2026-03-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 34.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 16.65% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 49.16% | 93.7% | 2026-03-13 17:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 17:45 |