默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v HSV Hamburg

开赛时间: 2026-03-13 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (主队)

预测 58.56%1.71公平赔率
EV -7.48%
优势 -4.73%
Kelly -12.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.58

博彩公司预测分布
57.75%58.92%58.24%61.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.521.501.5867.57%65.88%66.67%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

HSV Hamburg (客队)

预测 31.23%3.20公平赔率
EV +1.49%
优势 +0.458%
Kelly +0.662%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.49%30.79%31.63%32.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.073.103.2536.36%32.55%32.26%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 10.21%9.79公平赔率
EV -2.97%
优势 -0.312%
Kelly -0.349%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 9.50

博彩公司预测分布
9.72%10.30%10.13%11.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.008.999.209.5012.50%11.13%10.87%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (主队):58.56%;HSV Hamburg (客队):31.23%;平局:10.21%。 对于“HSV Hamburg (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.20。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.25,对应+1.49%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 08:50
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 08:50
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 08:50
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 08:50
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.75%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 09:00
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.92%EV -10.99%E -7.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV +1.49%E +0.458%K +0.662%G +0.010%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -10.63%E -1.21%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 17:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%EV -10.99%E -7.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -0.073%E -0.023%K -0.033%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -13.18%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 17:45
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.15%EV -13.33%E -9.01%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.15%EV -13.33%E -9.01%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 17:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 16:30
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -12.16%E -8.11%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.29%E -2.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.76%EV -7.48%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -7.48%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.44%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -2.97%E -0.312%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.41%EV -8.06%E -5.14%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -9.44%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.97%EV -6.03%E -0.656%K -0.736%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -10.07%E -3.49%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -8.08%E -0.897%K -1.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-13 17:00
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.88%EV -11.00%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.88%EV -6.03%E -0.656%K -0.736%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -8.65%E -5.54%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.88%EV -11.00%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.88%EV -6.03%E -0.656%K -0.736%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.83%EV -10.41%E -6.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.17%EV -14.12%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.00%EV -9.61%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-13 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.75%EV -10.99%E -7.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -14.12%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -13.18%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-13 16:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 57.50%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.40%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.10%15.2%2026-03-13 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 34.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 16.65%1.05I 95.24%NM 49.16%93.7%2026-03-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 34.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 16.65%1.05I 95.24%NM 49.16%93.7%2026-03-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 34.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 16.65%1.05I 95.24%NM 49.16%93.7%2026-03-13 17:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%6.0%2026-03-13 17:45