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TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v HSV Hamburg

2026-09-05 17:00 UTC — Handball-Bundesliga

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local)

Prediction 71.36%1.40fair odd
EV -7.23%
Edge -5.56%
Kelly -24.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.79%71.46%71.44%72.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.271.271.3080.65%78.82%79.05%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HSV Hamburg (Visit)

Prediction 19.79%5.05fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.261%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.39%19.73%19.67%21.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.554.555.0024.39%21.97%21.98%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 8.85%11.30fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.244%
Kelly -0.268%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.20%8.81%8.89%9.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5010.2810.0011.0010.53%9.73%10.00%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (Local): 71.36%; HSV Hamburg (Visit): 19.79%; Draw: 8.85%. For HSV Hamburg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -1.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -7.23%E -5.56%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.99%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.53%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 09:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.85%EV -7.94%E -6.16%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.98%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -2.68%E -0.244%K -0.268%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.94%E -6.16%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.53%EV -4.90%E -0.455%K -0.502%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 09:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -9.37%E -7.38%K -34.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -1.04%E -0.209%K -0.261%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -11.53%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.37%EV -10.08%E -8.00%K -38.78%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 20.76%EV -15.49%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.87%EV -11.53%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 06:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -10.80%E -8.64%K -43.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.96%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -2.68%E -0.244%K -0.268%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 06:49
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.29%EV -10.80%E -8.64%K -43.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.91%EV -11.53%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-03 06:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.79%EV -11.51%E -9.28%K -47.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.11%EV -18.86%E -4.60%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.11%EV -15.95%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-03 06:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.